Anthony Davian submits:

By Philip Dunham

Gold

After falling from around 1,065 in late October, gold prices surged, flirting with 1,100 due to news the Reserve Bank of India purchased 200 tonnes of gold from the IMF. Open interest increased by 35,649. Producers/consumers increased long positions by 5,290, shorts by 9,360. Swap dealers increased longs by 879, shorts by 3,506. Managed Money increased longs most substantially, by 15,057 and shorts by 2,269. Non reportable traders reduced both long and shorts positions, each by roughly 16,500. Technically, prices are again in overbought territory for the third time since November. In addition, volume has been decreasing. Gold is overdue for a correction and silver may provide further confirmation. That said, gold will be more resilient than silver when a correction materializes.

Silver

The most significant development in silver COT (commitments of traders) positioning was a 4,000 contract reduction in managed money longs, 1,108 contract increase in producer/consumer longs, 1,974 contract decrease in producer/consumer shorts and an across the board reduction in other reportable and non commercial traders positions by approximately 10,00 contracts.

Silver moved higher with gold following the Reserve Bank of India’s gold purchase. Based on COT positioning, the November 3rd move squeezed weak shorts. Silver has developed a rather ominous chart since September setting a marginally higher high slightly below 18.00 in October and looking to test that high this week. 17.50 resistance was broken next resistance is 18.00. Metals are sending mixed signals. On one hand metals have been relatively resilient. On the other, technicals are breaking down and silver appears to be setting up for a correction. If prices stall at current levels between 17.50-18.00, the likelihood of a substantial correction will increase. But if 18.00 is cleared, direction would be less clear, because silver, and gold as well, lack catalysts to stage a sustained move much higher.

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GDP: Great Day to Play

Good Day,

Friday’s market sessions in precious metals started off on a tamer note, following the best gains in gold in three weeks. Explanations follow. The recapture of the $1045 area is noteworthy, although analysts we polled during the wee hours overseas are trying to define the move as everything from a ‘one-hit wonder’ to the ‘re-ignition of what we saw during most of October.’

The Bloomberg weekly survey foresees weaker gold prices come next week - not by a large margin (57% bearish)- but still focusing on a potential comeback by the US currency, the early signs of which became visible this past Monday. Demand for the yellow metal once again slipped away in India, following signs of life during the earlier part of the week when values came close to $1025 per ounce. The country recorded its sixth straight month of declining gold imports, despite a decent gain during September – in anticipation of festival-related sales.

New York spot dealings opened with a $2.60 loss in gold bullion, which was quoted at $1043.20 bid, as against a euro-dollar seen at $1.4798 and the USD index steady-to-higher, at 76.05, with little in the way of fresh news thus far this morning. Oil prices gave back about 50 cents of their whopper-sized Thursday gains, slipping to $79.32 per barrel. Risk traders took a latte break this morning, and this gave the dollar a moment to try to re-group.

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Read the rest of Gold, Silver, Metal Prices: Commentary – 10/30/2009 (2,324 words)

Gold and other precious metals spiked Thursday, as did crude oil and US stocks following a report by the Commerce Department saying the economy expanded at a 3.5 percent annualized pace in the third quarter. Gold’s rise broke a losing streak that had extended to five days. The Dow and S&P enjoyed their best one-day jumps in three months.

New York bullion figures follow:

• Silver for December delivery jumped 41.5 cents, or 2.6 percent, to $16.655 an ounce. It ranged from $16.12 to $16.71.

• Gold for December delivery advanced $16.60, or 1.6 percent, to $1,047.10 an ounce. The yellow metal ranged from $1,048.40 to $1,026.90.

• January platinum surged $31.30, or 2.4 percent, to $1,338.20 an ounce.

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Read the rest of Gold, Silver and US Stocks Rally (2,395 words)

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Gold ended slightly lower Wednesday, marking the fifth consecutive day the yellow metal has declined. Again cited as the catalyst for the loses was a rallying US dollar. Silver and platinum also fell, as did crude oil which plunged 2.6 percent. US stocks followed along, with the three major indexes tumbling between 1.2 percent and 2.7 percent.

New York precious metals figures follow:

• Silver for December delivery fell 30 cents, or 1.8 percent, to $16.240 an ounce. It ranged from $16.155 to $16.77.

• Gold for December delivery declined $4.90, or 0.5 percent, to $1,030.50 an ounce. The yellow metal ranged from $1,042.60 to $1,027.10, which is the lowest price since Oct. 6.

• January platinum ended down $12.10, or 0.9 percent, to $1,306.90 an ounce.

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Read the rest of Gold Continues Decline for Day Five, Stocks Tumble (2,367 words)

New York gold futures ended lower Tuesday for the fourth straight day as the US dollar advanced on news of a decline in consumer confidence. Silver was hit exceptionally hard for the second straight day, falling more than 3 percent. Platinum declined as well. In other markets, crude oil finished 1 percent higher and US stocks ended mixed.

New York precious metals figures follow:

• Silver for December delivery plummeted 55.5 cents, or 3.2 percent, to $16.540 an ounce. It ranged from $17.250 to $16.500.

• Gold for December delivery declined $7.40, or 0.7 percent, to $1,035.40 an ounce. The yellow metal ranged from $1,044.30 to $1,032.90, which was the lowest level since Oct. 6.

• January platinum fell $26.80, or 2.0 percent, to $1,319.00 an ounce.

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Read the rest of Gold Drops for Fourth Day, Silver Plunges, Stocks Mixed (2,493 words)

Chris Vermeulen submits:

Commodities and stocks almost look ready for a rally or at least a relief bounce. The market is down over 5% and the normal pullback this year has been 4%. Using technical analysis and inter-market analysis, we can see that the market is reaching extreme lows and this usually means we are only a couple days away from a rally.

I work with several market technicians as we all analyze the market a different way and share our work with each other to gain maximum insight on the broad market moves. We analyze momentum cycles, magnetic cycles, volatility levels, support & resistance levels, volume analysis and inter-market analysis.

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Mark O’Byrne submits:

Gold
Gold closed trading at $1,039.80/oz In euro and GBP terms gold is trading at €699/oz and £635/oz. Support for Gold is currently seen at $1,030/oz and resistance at $1,053/oz.

Gold fell yesterday as oil prices and equities came under pressure and the dollar rose. The dollar has fallen marginally today after the People’s Bank of China said that while the dollar may remain dominant, the share of the euro and the yen should increase in its foreign exchange reserves. Diversification of China’s nearly $2.3 trillion stockpile of foreign exchange reserves is a long-standing policy that aims to avoid short-term volatility, a senior central banker said. Officials in the People’s Bank of China recently stated that they were increasing their gold reserves which currently constitute just some 2% of their entire foreign exchange reserves.

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Przemyslaw Radomski submits:

This essay is based on the Premium Update posted October 23rd, 2009

The crude oil market has lost most of its popularity since it is no longer near $150 per barrel (no longer do oil-related topics dominate the main financial websites), but nonetheless I’m sure that nobody can deny crude oil’s importance in today’s globalized economy. It is vital for both businesses and individual consumers, as fuels are derived from it. Most of us need to drive and purchase goods that also need to be transported to us directly or indirectly.

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One of the great benefits of investing in gold is that it typically functions as a safe haven for investors in times of economic turmoil. During the current economic instability, gold has risen to record high prices as one would expect. Some people will keep hold of their gold stocks until the peak of the instability then try to sell it off when gold prices reach their highest. But other people who struggle during tough times have another option: selling gold jewelry or other gold items to get cash to get through the hardships. You can easily sell gold bullion coins and bars to a bullion dealer, but how do you go about selling gold jewelry?

Selling your gold jewelry is not a difficult task. You can find various companies either online or around your area that will offer you cash for your gold items and make the process quite simple for you. The gold buyers are looking to get their hands on as much gold as possible, so they can profit from prices that will likely rise even higher over the longterm, and profit from some price spreads or transaction fees. But their businesses are usually legitimite and you will get a fair amount of cash for your gold.

A well-known example of such a company is Cash4Gold. They are a mail-in gold refinery, meaning that they will buy your gold items and melt them down. Cash4Gold is a good option for people who own old or broken gold jewelry or other items that are no longer attractive or desirable to wear. If you wish to sell newer and more attractive-looking gold jewerly, you will likely receive more money by selling your items to a local jeweler in your area, or to a pawn shop. That is because gold jewelry is sold at a premium price that can be much higher than the value of the item’s metal alone. The premium price covers things like quality of design and craftsmanship. But a refinery like Cash4Gold will simply melt down your items, so they don’t care if your items are resaleable or not. They will simply pay you a price based on the official spot price of your jewelry’s constituent metal (plus they will charge a transaction fee of some sort).

The things you should know about your gold before selling it are its karatage (which should be printed somewhere on the item, its weight in gold, and if possible also its resale value, so you can know whether to sell to a refinery or to a pawn shop or jeweler instead. Getting your item appraised by a reputable dealer might be a good idea. You should also be aware of the terms of your agreement with the buyer of your gold. If you have intentions to buy your item back, you should be sure to check how much time you have to do so, and the specific terms surrounding the buyback. When you are dealing with valuable items that might have special meaning to you, the last thing you want is any kind of disappointing surprise that deprives you of your cherished item.

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