Fight Back
January 25, 2010 by goldguru · Leave a Comment
By Larry LaBorde, GoldSeek
If you are tired of the Wall Street bankster bailout program at taxpayers expense but feel helpless to do anything about it then keep reading. If record profits for the big six banks (and big bonuses for the executives there) that took your tax dollars makes you wonder exactly who is in charge then read on. If you get upset about the Goldman Sachs executive retirement plan (become US Treasury Sec and cash out lifetime personal portfolio tax free AND help out your old pals on Wall Street) for Wall Street banksters then get ready to fight back.
You have probably heard the term, “too big to fail” in conjunction with the TARP funds that were shoveled at Wall Street banks at taxpayer expense. I think that if they are “too big to fail” then they are “too big to exist”. Of course no one at the White House is asking for my opinion. However, we as consumers can always vote with our feet. Fire the Wall Street bankers. There is a movement afoot to go back to local banking. Go towww.moveyourmoney.info and visit their site. Say no to the Potters of the banking world and yes to Jimmy Stewart. Look in your wallet right now. How many of you have credit cards issued from the big banks? How many of you have IRAs or other accounts with or do business with the big 6 banks in any way? (Morgan/Chase, Citi Bank, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs or Morgan Stanley). Fire them this month. Help make them smaller by removing your business from their banks. They will not even notice your loss but they will notice the loss of hundreds of thousands of customers leaving and going back to their local banks and credit unions. If they are “too big to fail” let’s help them get smaller and make our national banking system healthier.
Most of the big 6 banks have quit or contracted their lending and are piling up all that TARP money on deposit at the Fed. Most local commercial banks and credit unions continue to lend in the local community. Go to www.solari.comand read Catherine Austin Fitts’ articles on supporting your local community. It only makes sense after you read and think about the difference it makes in your long term quality of life.
Credit Unions hold 70% of their mortgages and an even higher percentage of other loans as opposed to big banks with their “originate to sell” model. It is these very “originate to sell” models that got us into the mortgage crisis. While the local banks and credit unions that hold their mortgages in their loan portfolio are very concerned about a borrower’s ability to repay the loan, the big banks with their “originate to sell” model could care less about the loan ever being repaid. If the loan goes bad it is someone else’s problem. If too many go bad they stick the taxpayer with the bill.
Banks with political ties did best with bailouts, study concludes
December 22, 2009 by goldguru · Leave a Comment
By Steve Eder, Reuters
NEW YORK — U.S. banks that spent more money on lobbying were more likely to get government bailout money, according to a study released on Monday.
Banks whose executives served on Federal Reserve boards were more likely to receive government bailout funds from the Troubled Asset Relief Program, according to the study from Ran Duchin and Denis Sosyura, professors at the University of Michigan’s Ross School of Business.
Banks with headquarters in the district of a U.S. House of Representatives member who serves on a committee or subcommittee relating to TARP also received more funds.
Political influence was most helpful for poorly performing banks, the study found.
“Political connections play an important role in a firm’s access to capital,” Sosyura, a University of Michigan assistant professor of finance, said in a statement.
Banks with an executive who sat on the board of a Federal Reserve Bank were 31 percent more likely to get bailouts through TARP’s Capital Purchase Program, the study showed. Banks with ties to a finance committee member were 26 percent more likely to get capital purchase program funds.
As of late September, nearly 700 financial institutions had received bailouts of $205 billion under the capital purchase program, the study said.
The banking industry has long been criticized for using political influence to obtain bailouts.
Historic Ghosts Reappear
November 20, 2009 by goldguru · Leave a Comment
By Roger Wiegand, Kitco
We are constantly reading and comparing current economic fundamentals and market action with similar historic experiences in the U.S. Today we discuss key points with eerie similarities to other troubled times. This discussion will get you thinking. As someone once said, “History never repeats exactly but certainly rhymes.” What we envision today as the result of these comparisons creates such a fright your hair will stand on end.
“There can never be any certainty that a debt crisis will not spiral out of control. Risks therefore, must increase until the financial pressure becomes intolerable and the financial authorities move to inject massive amounts of liquidity, reduce interest rates and bail out the large awaiting bankrupts that are about to collapse.” -The Bank Credit Analyst, September, 1982 from Golden Insights compiled by James U. Blanchard III.
That Bank Credit Analyst quote could easily be from last week’s newspaper not 1982. Let’s review a list of old era key points and see if you can determine the dates. The following data was experienced in another economic disruption.
The economy fell down after a prolonged and serious war. There seemed to be a series of never ending recessions and depressions despite a pattern of industrial growth, innovation, and invention.
Foreign capital was pouring into the U.S as Wall Street’s investment bankers and trading houses were booming. Expansion was amazing.
There transpired a physical shock to the land which proved horridly damaging and expensive beyond initial comprehension.
Financial pressures were growing on the national and private treasuries of most Americans. Demands became such that those in the private sector found themselves being “crowded out” by big government seizing credit.
Global capital demands were so extreme against the banks and other sources of credit and liquidity supply that analysts were very seriously concerned about the outcome.
The initial shock nearly paralyzed Wall Street and liquidity dried-up to the extent governments, banks and brokers were running everywhere in a serious panicky strain seeking liquidity and credit to cover debts and repay failing valuations. Shares tumbled, and fear escalated as leverage produced increasing pressures.
After some serious damage, the turbulence subsided and optimism returned. However, robust buying did not return except from those in privileged positions with extraordinary capital access.
Demands on gold had been fierce and even higher demands for this precious metal were expected. No one could see the end or measure the depth of this catastrophe.
The American president was deeply disturbed about the financial system, out of control growth, the numbers and types of immigrants flooding into the nation and very poor living conditions for the masses. The president and others looked at Wall Street not with respect but great fear. Since the war, capitalists were judged to be “looters and self-dealing promoters.”
This president was very aggressive and took immediate steps to rein-in the companies and provide more advantage to labor. Lawsuits were filed against major industries and companies with some of them being arbitrarily resolved.
This president “sued nearly 40 corporations under the Sherman Anti-Trust Act.” This president “In a Memorial Day speech at Indianapolis, railed that the ‘predatory man of wealth’ was the primary threat to private property in the United States.” Later this president was judged to be a prime instigator creating the subsequent crash.
Liquidity strains expanded over the world spreading deeply into Europe setting-off sales of shares and other securities, coupled with a bitter angry rising of new regulations.
Events of this example were not as prolonged as our current debacle but nevertheless they were nasty enough to threaten the very foundations of stock trading and the entire financial system of the United States. What was prolonged were the economic, social and corporate abuses over years.
American Gold Bullion
October 30, 2009 by goldguru · Leave a Comment
Even though multitudes of American investors have lost faith in Wall Street and our nation’s banking system, they can still show their patriotism by purchasing American gold bullion, as they convert their wealth into precious metal diversification. Traditional investments in stocks and bonds have had their overextended course of contrived prosperity, now it’s time to pay the piper. As we all prepare for the treacheries of an indeterminate inflationary period, many investors are claiming financial independence from our banks and brokers by diversifying with American gold bullion like Engelhard brand, one-ounce, and ten-ounce bars, and American gold bullion coins like 22-karat American Eagles, or 24-karat American Buffalos.
Engelhard 24-karat bars are manufactured in New Jersey, and make great items for personal possession, as well as short-term diversifications for rare coins like $20 Lady Liberty’s, or $20 Saint Gaudens, which are traditionally used for long-term stability. Bullion prices usually hover just above the current spot price, and investors can also use this affordability for long-term financial safety, as government approved, gold-backed IRA contributions. Rare coins are not permitted for precious metal IRA storage, but the aforementioned American Eagles, and Buffalo coins are permissible, along with proof, and “Ultra-High” proof versions of the modern American Eagle bullion coin. Investors may also wish to round off their budgets with fractional denominations of the $50 American Eagle, which include ½-ounce, ¼-ounce, and 1/10-ounce coins. These investors are encouraged to complete their research, and then to contact one of our friendly specialists, who offer institutional discounts on bullion, and rare coin.
Danny Burns
BANK CLOSINGS SURPASS 100
October 24, 2009 by goldguru · Leave a Comment
October 23, 2009 Bank closings for the year have surpassed 100 as regulators shut down small banks in Florida and Georgia. The FDIC took over Partners Bank in Naples, Fla. American United Bank in Lawrenceville, Ga., also failed. They boosted to 101 the number of bank failures so far this year.
Gold May Have More Price Support now Than at any Time Since 1989
October 23, 2009 by goldguru · Leave a Comment
The central banks of the world are changing tune. Since 1989, the banks have been net sellers of gold reserves, meaning that as a group they have sold more than they have taken in. This is an important point because the large gold sales of central banks tend toward lowering the spot price of gold. The news emerging from a September 2009 GMFS report is that central banks as a whole are once again becoming net buyers, and their purchases have the potential to put upward pressure on the price of gold in the public markets.
According to GFMS, “this represents a remarkable change of direction for a market that has been used to absorbing substantial volumes of gold sold by central banks over the last decade.”
Central bank gold sales may have been initially enlisted in an effort to support the dollar as the world’s reserve currency, especially since 1971 when the US de-linked the dollar from gold. The changing trend may be related to recent renewed interest in the SDR, which has been getting a lot of attention in media as a potential replacement reserve currency. Or, it could reflect an anticipation of a continued increase in the value of gold over time.
Either way, this is an important trend to watch. Central banks are significant players in the gold market and can affect the value of your personal gold holdings.
The full story is available from Jesse’s Cafe Americain which has more details on the official central bank purchases and several insightful charts.
Gold May Have More Price Support now Than at any Time Since 1989 originally appeared in the Daily Reckoning. The Daily Reckoning, a FREE daily e-letter, offers a “uniquely refreshing” perspective on the global economy, investing, and today’s markets.
Watershed Moment for Government Intervention in Private Sector
October 23, 2009 by goldguru · Leave a Comment
October 22, 2009 The U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve unveiled a set of curbs and rules for executive compensation at U.S. banks that mark a watershed moment for government intervention in the private sector. The Fed is proposing that it more aggressively regulate compensation practices at U.S. American banks under its control. The central bank "is working to ensure that compensation packages appropriately tie rewards to longer-term performance and do not create undue risk for the firm or the financial system," Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said Thursday. The policies would become part of the supervisory process, the Fed said, noting large, complex organizations would face special "horizontal" reviews that compare one bank's pay practices with those of its peers.
The Golden Road Out of Financial Crisis
October 22, 2009 by goldguru · Leave a Comment
“Who goes borrowing, goes sorrowing.”
– Ben Franklin
Today’s reckoning is going to be short. We’re on the road again…this time to Ireland where our Family office is headquartered.
The quote above comes from one of America’s founding fathers. But it was recalled to us neither by America’s president, nor America’s secretary of the Treasury, nor by America’s top banker. Instead, the Telegraph in London reported it from the mouth of Cheng Siwei, a “top member of the Communist hierarchy.”
The Telegraph reports:
“Cheng Siwei, former vice-chairman of the Standing Committee…said Beijing was dismayed by the Fed’s recourse to “credit easing”.
“We hope there will be a change in monetary policy as soon as they have positive growth again,” he said at the Ambrosetti Workshop, a policy gathering on Lake Como.
“If they keep printing money to buy bonds it will lead to inflation, and after a year or two the dollar will fall hard. Most of our foreign reserves are in US bonds and this is very difficult to change, so we will diversify incremental reserves into euros, yen, and other currencies,” he said.
China’s reserves are more than – $2 trillion, the world’s largest.
“Gold is definitely an alternative, but when we buy, the price goes up. We have to do it carefully so as not to stimulate the markets,” he added.
The Chinese now have the wind at their backs. Having done the stupidest things a nation can do – for a period of about half a century – the Chinese are getting smart. They’re discovering the wisdom Americans have forgotten.
“A penny saved is a penny earned,” is another of Franklin’s quips. In China it is practically the national motto. The Chinese save 25% to 40% of their income.
And now, with their $2 trillion in national savings, they’re going on a buying spree. But unlike Americans in the Bubble Epoque, the Chinese aren’t buying cheap consumer goods. They’re buying real assets…raw materials…and key supplies of essential resources, such as rare metals.
Ultimately, gold is money…it’s a way to store wealth over the long term.
Just ask Terry Herbert. The man spent his time with a metal detector, looking for treasure in England’s green and golden fields. He’d been looking for years, but when he finally found something important it “brought tears to my eyes,” he says.
What Mr. Herbert found was perhaps the greatest discovery of buried treasure in English history – 1,500 different artifacts of gold and silver…dagger hilts, crosses, helmet cheek pieces and other items of war booty from the Anglo-Saxon period, about 1,400 years ago.
Had Mr. Herbert stumbled upon some IOUs from a Saxon chieftain, it would have been a remarkable discovery. Its historical value might have been inestimable. But what he found weighed in at 11 pounds of gold. In addition to the value to museums and historians, it has monetary value. Even if you melted it down, erasing all trace of its history and provenance, it would still be worth about $160,000 at today’s price – probably about as much as it was when the Saxons stole it.
Gold’s “price has been remarkably similar for centuries at a time,” wrote Roy W. Jastram in his 1977 book, The Golden Constant. “Its purchasing power in the middle of the twentieth century was very nearly the same as in the midst of the seventeenth century.”
Gold outlives paper money, empires, governments…all of us and all our institutions.
The Chinese have metal detectors too. And they know there’s not much real value behind the dollar.
“The dollar is finished,” says historian Niall Ferguson. The Chinese are dumping it, he says.
Ferguson speaks for the popular intelligentsia. His ideas reflect those of fund managers, hedge fund operators, bankers, politicians and speculators. They’re all convinced that the dollar is doomed.
The Financial Times elaborates:
“The financial crisis vividly taught investors the importance of tail risk, a massive one-off event that can crush the value of portfolios. As the dust settles, fear of another ‘tail’ to sting portfolios is uppermost in the minds of many investors and money managers.”
Oh, Mr. Market…where’s thy sting? It’s inflation, they believe.
It’s the risk “that the huge liquidity injections being made by central banks could spark a surge in either inflation and/or long-term interest rates beyond 2012,” continues the FT.
“Inflation is the single biggest topic for discussion among our clients,” says a private banker.
What’s remarkable about inflation is that there is so little of it. It makes us think this story may have a twist.
Until tomorrow,
Bill Bonner
The Daily Reckoning
The Golden Road Out of Financial Crisis originally appeared in the Daily Reckoning. The Daily Reckoning, a FREE daily e-letter, offers a “uniquely refreshing” perspective on the global economy, investing, and today’s markets.
Kolkata banks confirm surge in gold sales during Dhanteras
October 21, 2009 by goldguru · Leave a Comment
Sales of gold items surged by over 30 per cent in the Indian city of Kolkata during the Dhanteras festival on October 15th, according to local banks.
The State Bank of India said that it had seen a 50 per cent leap in gold coin sales, while ICICI Bank registered a 20 per cent year-on-year increase in gold transactions, the Times of India reports.
The news feeds on this site are independently provided by Adfero Limited © and do not represent the views or opinions of the World Gold Council.
US Hyperinflation?
October 20, 2009 by goldguru · Leave a Comment
The finance ministers of the Eurozone met yesterday and they’ve tried to stem the euro’s (EUR) rise… But they’ll need more than words to get the job done! And so we begin a new day…
Front and center this morning, the currencies – which had given background overnight to the dollar – are back in rally mode, and are taking liberties with the dollar once more. For most of the night, that was not the case, though. The dollar had rallied back and sent the euro, for instance, to the 1.48 handle, after the single unit spent yesterday at 1.49 and change… There seemed to be a move to the dollar, but that didn’t last long, and the currencies are once again rallying versus the dollar this morning, and the euro has pushed to 1.4970 as I write.
Daily noise, eh? Yes, you have to wade through it most days, and keep your eyes fixed on the horizon…
OK, I mentioned above that the finance ministers of the Eurozone met yesterday, and tried to stem the dollar’s decline by backing the US administration’s stated preference for a strong dollar… Of course we all know that the US administration’s stated preference for a strong dollar is a bunch of horse dookie! So… What was it that the Eurozone FMs were backing? A false statement by the US? Now, that’s something to hang your hat on, eh? The dolts just continue to mount daily don’t they?
But, you can’t be too hard on the beaver (Eurozone FMs) for they have to sound like they don’t want their euro to get too strong, for if they really said what they wanted to say, the euro would be back to 1.60 with a bullet in a heartbeat! So… In the end, I don’t think currency traders were swayed by the Eurozone FMs, at least not for too long!
Yesterday, I talked about Canada and the Bank of Canada (BOC) and how I thought that the BOC would remove their statement about interest rates remaining on hold until the second half of 2010… I had a few readers question me on this, saying that Canada’s economy is in no shape to withstand a rate hike… OK… Hear me out on this… I’m not saying that the BOC will hike rates now, or even in 2009… But, if Canadian energy prices of oil, natural gas, and coal continue to get stronger, I’m afraid the BOC will have to entertain thoughts of raising rates to fight inflation… But not now… So… I hope you get what I’m saying here.
So… The US fiscal deficit for 2009 was $1.42 trillion… Remember how I used to take the previous administration to the woodshed for posting $450 billion fiscal deficits? How did we go from $450 billion to $1.42 trillion (if that’s really the number)? Well… That’s not a question to really answer, folks, we all know how we got here… But now that we’re here, what happens next?
I came across this when putting the two monthly newsletters together on Sunday; I think it would be appropriate to share it with you here…
Peter Bernholz (Professor Economics in Basel) studied the world’s 12 most important periods of hyperinflation and discovered that the tipping point occurs when deficits amounted to 40% of the expenditures.
For the United States we have arrived at exactly that point. The deficit of $1.5 trillion amounts to 41.7% of the $3.6 trillion in expenses.
You see, that Peter Bernholz rounds some numbers, but for those of you keeping score at home, the real point is that the US deficits are greater than 40% of expenditures… And you know me, I truly believe in this history repeating itself.
The point I’m trying to make here is that according to Mr. Bernholz, we can soon expect a bout of hyperinflation! OH BOY! Where do I sign up for that? Not only do we have a falling dollar causing us to lose purchasing power, but what purchasing power we have left is going to be eaten away with inflation! Like I said, OH BOY! Gee Willikers, that sounds like the cat’s meow! NOT!
So… Here we go again, with me getting on the soapbox and telling you that the only way to protect yourself from a falling dollar and hyperinflation is to diversify with non-dollar currencies and precious metals.
OK… I get emails all the time from readers that say, “OK Chuck, you tell us to diversify, but you don’t tell us what to buy”… Well… To the untrained eye, that would be true… But to long time readers they know better… So, keep reading, and it will hit you right between the eyes one day, and you’ll slap your forehead and say, “I could have had a V-8”!
The boys and girls over at Citigroup have written a letter to their clients telling them “the dollar is weakening because foreign central banks are diversifying their reserves and US investors are buying high-yielding emerging market assets.” They went on to say, “The Australian and Canadian dollars are likely to rise to parity against the US currency.”
So, there’s one more on the roster that believe Aussie dollars (AUD) and loonies (CAD) will go to parity against the dollar… The loonie isn’t exactly the same stretch of a forecast as the Aussie dollar, as loonies are almost 97-cents right now, with Aussie dollars trading near 93-cents…
Doesn’t that make sense given the talk we just had about hyperinflation? What currencies are going to help protect you against hyperinflation? The commodity currencies! Aussie, kiwi (NZD), Canada, Norway (NOK), Brazil (BRL) and you can even throw in the S. African rand (ZAR), for those who like Mr. Toad’s wild ride!
The folks at Citigroup also had this to say about the euro, which I found to be quite interesting… “The euro will extend gains against the US dollar and the British pound, and may reach parity against the UK currency in 6 to 12 months.”
I would think that for the euro to reach parity with the pound, it would involve the pound falling quite a bit from current levels… And that makes sense to me… Did you see the report the other day from the UK where they reported bad bank debt to be twice the forecast amount? YIKES!
You know… The Asian currencies – which never really participated in the first bout of dollar weakness – are still stuck in the mud… Well, they are being manipulated to be stuck in the mud, for the most part… But, something’s got to give here sooner or later. Why do I say that? Well, as I’ve told you for months now, the Chinese economy was the first to exit their slowdown/recession… Shoot Rudy, even Japan is showing signs of economic growth! And then we have India going strong too… And of course you have the “kind of Asian countries” of Australia and New Zealand… Where we already know that Australia has raised rates and New Zealand would love to raise rates… So, this region is leading the world out of the recession… Hmmm… I thought only the US economy was allowed to do that! Uh-Oh… Looks like we have a shift in how the world works!
Hey! Even Big Ben Bernanke sees the Asian countries as leading the world out of the global recession! Big Ben said… “Asia appears to be leading the global economic recovery.” Hmmm… See, even a blind squirrel can find an acorn! HA!
I had to laugh when I read this headline this morning… “Yen rises as Fujii repeats reluctance to stem currency’s rise”… I laugh because the last time Japan’s new finance minister talked about not intervening to stop the yen’s rise, he back-pedaled and said that traders mistook him to say that he was not going to intervene… So this on again/off again love affair with Fujii and intervention, just makes me laugh! I would think that after getting burned on Fujii comments a couple of weeks ago, that Traders would not get too lathered up when he talks about not intervening.
OK… Here in the US while we are still a sovereign nation, the Fed Reserve, is doing some testing of reverse repos as a means of drawing the excess liquidity/stimulus out of the markets… I don’t think we have to put too much into these tests right now. But it will be a method that the Fed uses at some point in the future… The IMF is against removing any stimulus now… So, that may carry some weight.
Gold prices rose yesterday for the first time in a couple of days, pushing back above $1,060… I would think that until we know for sure that the Fed is removing stimulus, that gold would remain well bid… When we do know that stimulus is being removed… Gold might take a step or two back… But then we’ll have to wait-n-see what happens with inflation.
I read where ETF holdings of gold are sluggish… Well, that certainly makes sense to me! With what we’re seeing these days from our government pushing us toward who-knows-what, physical gold is the thing people want right now… And you can’t get physical gold out of an ETF! So… All those people that have long said that the ETF was just as good as holding gold either in your buried coffee cans in the back yard, or in pooled accounts, are wrong, when it comes to physical gold demands.
And I don’t know about you, but I filled my gas tank the other day, and the price of gas has really shot up recently, eh? And a quick look at oil prices tells it all… Oil prices have risen to $79, while trading at $69 just a month ago! Is oil the proxy for rising inflation?
OK… To recap… The dollar rebounded a bit overnight, but has given back to a currency rally this morning. Citigroup believes Aussie and Canadian dollars will reach parity to the US dollar. The Bank of Canada meets today. Our fiscal deficit reached 40% of our expenditures, which historically is a harbinger to hyperinflation, and gold is back above $1,060 this morning…
US Hyperinflation? originally appeared in the Daily Reckoning. The Daily Reckoning, a FREE daily e-letter, offers a “uniquely refreshing” perspective on the global economy, investing, and today’s markets.


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