By David Banister, Active Trading Partners

This is a forecast that I released to my paying subscribers at www.themarkettrendforecast.com when Silver was $18.73 just a few days ago, it is now knocking on $19.50 an ounce:

Silver is one asset class I do not cover very often, but have been largely bullish on since $6 an ounce many years ago.  It can be considered “poor man’s Gold” as they say.  I believe Silver is about to stage a pretty large advance based loosely on the Elliott Wave pattern I see unfolding after a 9 odd month consolidation. (Obviously, there are also fundamental fiat currency/debt events worldwide that give it the underlying bull chart pattern).  Since the average person can’t run out and buy an ounce of Gold for $1,240 tomorrow, as the unfolding of the fiat crises continues to enter the public psyche, you will see a strong populace movement into buying silver, silver coins, etc.  To wit, many silver stocks are moving up strongly of late, signally an imminent breakout of this precious and industrial metal.

The triangle pattern has taken nearly 9 months so far, and a move over $19.50 could start a multi-month run targeting $26-$29 per ounce for starters before a broad pullback.  A few silver stocks worth looking at include SLW (Silver Wheaton, which purchases future silver mine production in advance at a discount), a long-time favorite of mine and Fortuna Silver, a growing producer and explorer favored by some of the brightest minds in the business.  I do not own shares in either, so I have no inherent bias to mention them other than they are worth your time to review sooner than later. TMTF does not offer stock or trading advice, so please do your own research and consult a professional if need be.  We do offer specific trading advice at activetradingpartners.com however.

I post the Silver chart below and my outline shows my views of a multi month 5 wave bullish triangle pattern on a weekly chart.  Silver needs to bust through $19.50 per ounce to confirm, but I suspect we will see this fairly soon. If you enjoy our forecast and articles, consider becoming a charter subscriber.  Check us out at www.markettrendforecast.com

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Tim Iacono submits:

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Gold climbed to a new 2 month high at $1254.74 a little after 8:30AM EST before it dropped back down to as low as $1242.15 by late morning in New York, but it then bounced back higher into the close and ended with a loss of just 0.15%. Silver climbed to as high as $19.48 and fell to as low as $19.22 before it also bounced back higher and ended with a loss of just 0.05%.

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Hyperinflation and inflation may share the same root, but they’re two entirely different trees. While many assume that hyperinflation is just inflation’s oversized cousin, there is much more to hyperinflation than most are aware.

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Silver fell almost 1.5% to $18.76 in London before it jumped to as high as $19.288 in early New York trade and then pared its gains a bit, but it ultimately rose to new highs in late trade and ended near its last minute high of $19.405 with a gain of 1.73%.

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Gold traded within a tight range of $1233.10 to $1238.18 and ended with a gain of 0.08%. Silver climbed to as high as $19.19 and fell to as low as $18.91 before it bounced back higher and ended unchanged on the day.

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The latest quarterly (Q2, ended June 30, 2010) results from a number of silver producers confirm that they are now entering a phase of sustainable profits. We will look at several companies and try to make sense of the numbers as well as make an EPS projection for the calendar year 2010.

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9:45p ET Sunday, August 29, 2010

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold (and Silver):

Gene Arensberg’s weekly “Got Gold Report” concentrates on silver tonight and he writes that something changed in the silver market last week, starting with silver’s “outside reversal” day on Tuesday, and it looks bullish. Arensberg’s commentary is headlined “Focus on Silver” and you can find it at the Got Gold Report Internet site here:

http://www.gotgoldreport.com/2010/08/focus-on-silver-.html

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer

Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.

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After looking extremely vulnerable for weeks, silver staged an upside breakout last week that has taken the price away from the danger zone and also signaled a probable breakout to new highs that, should it occur after such a prolonged standoff, can be expected to lead to a powerful uptrend that takes the price to a target area in the high $20’s.

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My point is that we may experience a tough summer once again, but in a bull market most surprises are to the upside not the downside. As more and more former gold bugs abandon ship, and the sentiment gets very poor you can rest assured the bottom has arrived. Then the precious metals continue to ascend the wall of worry.

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