Capital Gold Group Report: DOW TUMBLES 281 POINTS; S&P TUMBLES TO A NEW BEAR-MARKET LOW
March 7, 2009 by goldguru · Leave a Comment

Stocks Sink as Banks Skid
Dow Industrials, S&P 500 Skid More Than 4%
Stocks plunged Thursday, led by financial names plagued by the specters of nationalization and insolvency.
Investors also reacted to a lack of economic stimulus in China, and
braced for the approaching release of employment data likely to show a
fourteenth straight month of job losses in the U.S. As in the darkest
days last year, some funds unloaded shares to raise cash in
anticipation of a wave of investor redemptions.
The
Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 281.40 points, or 4.1%, to
6594.44, its lowest close since April 15, 1997. The blue-chip measure
has fallen 53.4% from its record high in October 2007 and is down 42.3%
since mid-September, when the meltdown of Lehman Brothers Holdings set
off a full-blown financial and economic crisis.
The S&P 500 fell 4.3% to 682.55, a new bear-market low. All of
its sectors suffered big declines, led by a 9.4% plunge in the
financial category.
Citigroup shares dropped 9.7% after dipping below $1 for the first time. In May
2007, Citi was the biggest bank in the U.S. by market capitalization,
and traded north of $55. Since then, the collapse of mortgage
securitization and the slide in value of other assets has necessitated
the rescue of Citigroup and other financial institutions.
“If you had told me in the summer of 2007 that it would dip below
$1, I would have said ‘you’re crazy,’” said Joseph Saluzzi, co-founder
of Themis Trading. “The banks are a disaster.”
Art Hogan, chief market analyst at Jefferies & Co., said that
many traders were shorting Citi’s common stock while buying its
preferred shares on Thursday, expecting that the government will buy up
more of the latter and take an even deeper role in managing the bank’s
affairs.
Also spurring the downward spiral, Moody’s Investors Service said Wednesday that it may downgrade the credit rating of Wells Fargo and changed its outlook on J.P. Morgan Chase to negative. Wells Fargo shares slid 16%, while J.P. Morgan declined 14%. Bank of America fell 12%. U.S. Bancorp sank 18%.
“All the major banks are basically insolvent at this point,” said
David P. Prokupek, chief executive of the Denver portfolio-management
firm Geronimo Partners. “Until that changes and until credit gets
flowing again, it’s hard to see how we have any real recovery.”
Mr. Prokupek said that his firm has lowered the weighting of stocks
in its client portfolios to about 5% of assets, down from a high of
about 15% last year. It’s been stocking up on debt issued by low-risk,
government-chartered entities like Fannie Mae, eschewing even the
high-grade corporate debt that many money managers have been using as
an alternative to the stock market lately.
“We’re still skeptical that a lot of that stuff could be lowered below investment grade,” said Mr. Prokupek.
Traders said the current plunge differs from that in October and
November in that exasperation has replaced panic. After so much pain,
many investors are becoming averse to stock trading altogether.
![[Stocks Sink as Banks Skid]](http://s.wsj.net/public/resources/images/OB-DG190_stocks_D_20090305151549.jpg)
Associated PressA broker works the trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange March 5.
The
Chicago Board Options Exchange market volatility index, which reflects
the price of protecting against swings in the S&P 500, has been
muted, rising 6% to 50.37 on Thursday. Last fall, it had neared 80.
Trading volumes have not come close to the records of October. Mr.
Saluzzi said he has hardly heard from clients Thursday.
Ben Pace, chief investment officer for Deutsche Bank Private Wealth
Management said he’s concerned about a recent re-tightening of
three-moth Libor rates, a key benchmark for bank-to-bank lending. He
said that trend has not only made life difficult for Wall Street firms,
but it is also short-circuiting the multiplier effect from the Federal
Reserve’s rate cuts.
Three-month dollar Libor peaked at 4.8175% in October. It fell to
1.08250% in mid-January but has steadily crept back up amid frustration
in the markets that the Obama administration hasn’t offered a detailed
plan for valuing toxic assets. On Thursday, three-month Libor stood at
1.28375%.
“I’m not saying things are totally frozen, as they were in the
fall,” said Mr. Pace. “But they’re not totally thawed either. Credit
isn’t flowing like water.”
Investors pushed GM shares down 15% to less than $2 after it said in
a securities filing that auditors raised substantial doubt about the
auto maker’s ability to continue operating. The warning was a stark
reminder of an issue that was on the “backburner” for a while, Mr.
Saluzzi said.
“There’s always something new, or something to drag out from the storage room,” he said.
Markets had snapped a five-session losing skid on Wednesday amid
hopes that an economic stimulus plan from China would jolt the global
economy back to life. Commodities and industrials shares surged. But
those gains evaporated on Thursday after China’s premier tamped down
expectations for more stimulus. The S&P’s industrial,
basic-materials and energy sectors fell 3% or more.
The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 54.15 points, or 4%, to 1299.59, the
lowest close for the tech-heavy measure since March 12, 2003. The
Nasdaq is down 54.55% from its multi-year high of 2859.12 hit on
October 31, 2007.
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